Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 12.523751 14.651652 16.983256 19.721222 22.841515 26.279778 30.348046
2024-12-15 9.767209 12.665632 16.128974 20.544767 25.994789 32.468444 40.704280
2024-12-22 7.718803 10.942760 15.091480 20.759068 28.227765 37.653041 50.353493
2024-12-29 6.262706 9.608747 14.203684 20.865560 30.145842 42.464198 59.867214
2025-01-05 4.964977 8.204474 12.930016 20.164552 30.760102 45.470891 67.136621
2025-01-12 4.166385 7.360510 12.277612 20.174590 32.254133 49.684490 76.278349
2025-01-19 3.532377 6.645675 11.685325 20.144307 33.606134 53.718076 85.387008
2025-01-26 3.233556 6.425001 11.819564 21.221012 36.690397 60.482245 98.938251
2025-02-02 2.940103 6.157587 11.825866 22.062131 39.440721 66.900643 112.371391
2025-02-09 2.706622 5.956750 11.908417 23.016696 42.425965 73.859270 127.062224
2025-02-16 2.369344 5.496283 11.460638 22.982454 43.722723 78.172791 137.801622
2025-02-23 1.998338 4.900194 10.676394 22.239900 43.701677 80.282384 145.051750
2025-03-02 1.679117 4.361889 9.941959 21.526914 43.704071 82.496513 152.754308
2025-03-09 1.492949 4.083940 9.687758 21.700828 45.327027 87.593042 165.649922
2025-03-16 1.312320 3.783686 9.343821 21.651753 46.515944 91.993759 177.606194
2025-03-23 1.160503 3.523042 9.046259 21.656589 47.794184 96.619840 190.215614
2025-03-30 0.976839 3.141320 8.421245 20.892564 47.475208 98.278598 197.584986
2025-04-06 0.866626 2.932446 8.162980 20.887619 48.672229 102.821480 210.444374
2025-04-13 0.768606 2.736276 7.905447 20.850482 49.788861 107.266363 223.354292
2025-04-20 0.739622 2.737837 8.136989 21.957925 53.406151 116.762411 246.267134
2025-04-27 0.700243 2.699577 8.261368 22.823745 56.564905 125.532023 268.233353
2025-05-04 0.668389 2.678844 8.428425 23.806868 60.050510 135.143069 292.293509
2025-05-11 0.598160 2.515919 8.190827 23.771442 61.261415 140.223858 307.758948